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Severe weather threat Monday

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3:30 p.m. SUNDAY: The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a FLASH FLOOD WATCH for most of our viewing area for Monday and Tuesday.

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The warm, moist air that left the area last Friday will move back in tonight and that will set the stage for a stormy and wet start to the work week. There is a 100% chance of rain and it will be heavy at times. Most locations will receive between 2-3" of rainfall with isolated amounts near 4". As the boundary separating the two air masses moves inland on Monday, the chance of severe storms will climb, especially during the afternoon. Currently the Storm Prediction Center has our area under a level 1 threat (0-5 scale), but I won't be surprised if that gets upgraded to a level 2. Damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes are possible, so please stay weather alert during the day.

We also have a 100% chance of rain on Tuesday, but we'll be on the colder, stable side of the storm system. While the rainfall will be light to moderate, it will be a cold rain with temperatures hovering in the upper 40s and low 50s during the day.

The first frost and freeze of the season is possible, though it will be delayed a day or two. With clouds hanging around on Wednesday, our morning temperatures should stay in the 40s. However, with clear skies expected both Thursday and Friday morning, temperatures should fall into the low and middle 30s making frost a possibility.

The Tropics:

A tropical wave located east of the Leeward Islands is being monitored for possible tropical organization. A tropical or sub-tropical storm looks likely and the National Hurricane Center gives it a 70% chance of development over the next 5 days.


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