Chance of tropical formation over the weekend

(image: WPMI) 20% chance of tropical formation over the weekend

A tropical wave located about 500 miles east-southeast of the Windward Island continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or two while it moves west-northwestward around 15 mph toward the Windward Islands.

By late Saturday, unfavorable environmental conditions should limit the chances for additional development while the system moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea.

We're watching another area of concern about 500 miles ESE of the Windward Islands.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) gives the disturbance a 20% chance of future formation, but many tropical forecast models like the idea development into a tropical storm over the weekend.

The chance of formation through 48 hours is just 10 percent, and only 30 percent through the next five days.

We'll continue to closely watch the situation so please check back often for future updates.

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